EpiEstim (version 1.1-0)

Measles1861: Data on the 1861 measles epidemic in Hagelloch, Germany

Description

This data set gives 1/ the daily incidence of onset of symptoms in Hallegoch (Germany) during the 1861 measles epidemic (see source and references), 2/ the discrete daily distribution of the serial interval for measles, assuming a shifted Gamma distribution with mean 14.9 days, standard deviation 3.9 days and shift 1 day (see references).

Usage

Measles1861

format

A list of two elements: 1/ "Incidence": a vector containing 48 days of observation, 2/ "SI.Distr": a vector containing a set of 38 probabilities.

source

Groendyke C. et al. (2011) Bayesian Inference for Contact Networks Given Epidemic Data. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 38(3): 600-616.

References

Groendyke C. et al. (2011) Bayesian Inference for Contact Networks Given Epidemic Data. Scandinavian Journal of Statistics 38(3): 600-616.

Examples

## load data on measles in Hallegoch in 1861
		data("Measles1861")

		## estimate the instantaneous reproduction number (method "NonParametricSI")
		EstimateR(Measles1861$Incidence, T.Start=17:42, T.End=23:48, method="NonParametricSI", 
			SI.Distr=Measles1861$SI.Distr, plot=TRUE, leg.pos=xy.coords(1,7))
		# the second plot produced shows, at each each day, 
		# the estimate of the instantaneous reproduction number over the 7-day window finishing on that day.