brms (version 0.7.0)

brm: Fit Bayesian Generalized Linear and Ordinal Mixed Models

Description

Fit a Bayesian generalized linear or ordinal mixed model using Stan

Usage

brm(formula, data = NULL, family = gaussian(), prior = NULL,
  addition = NULL, autocor = NULL, partial = NULL,
  threshold = c("flexible", "equidistant"), cov.ranef = NULL,
  ranef = TRUE, sample.prior = FALSE, fit = NA, inits = "random",
  chains = 2, iter = 2000, warmup = 500, thin = 1, cluster = 1,
  cluster_type = "PSOCK", algorithm = c("sampling", "meanfield",
  "fullrank"), silent = TRUE, seed = 12345, save.model = NULL, ...)

Arguments

formula
An object of class "formula" (or one that can be coerced to that class): a symbolic description of the model to be fitted. The details of model specification are given under 'Details'.
data
An optional data frame, list or environment (or object coercible by as.data.frame to a data frame) containing the variables in the model. If not found in data, the variables are taken from environment(formula), typically t
family
A description of the error distribution and link function to be used in the model. This can be a family function, a call to a family function or a character string naming the family. Currently, the following families are supported: gaussian
prior
One or more brmsprior objects created by function set_prior and combined using the c method. A single brmsprior object may be passed without
addition
Deprecated. All additional information on the response variable should be incorporated directly into formula. See 'Formula Syntax' under 'Details' for further information.
autocor
An optional cor_brms object describing the correlation structure within the response variable (i.e. the 'autocorrelation'). See the documentation of cor_brms
partial
A one sided formula of the form ~expression allowing to specify predictors with category specific effects in non-cumulative ordinal models (i.e. in families cratio, sratio, or acat).
threshold
A character string indicating the type of thresholds (i.e. intercepts) used in an ordinal model. "flexible" provides the standard unstructured thresholds and "equidistant" restricts the distance between consecutive thresh
cov.ranef
A list of matrices that are proportional to the (within) covariance structure of the random effects. The names of the matrices should correspond to columns in data that are used as grouping factors. All levels of the grouping factor s
ranef
A flag to indicate if random effects for each level of the grouping factor(s) should be saved (default is TRUE). Set to FALSE to save memory. The argument has no impact on the model fitting itself.
sample.prior
A flag to indicate if samples from all specified proper priors should be additionally drawn. Among others, these samples can be used to calculate Bayes factors for point hypotheses. Default is FALSE.
fit
An instance of S3 class brmsfit derived from a previous fit; defaults to NA. If fit is of class brmsfit, the compiled model associated with the fitted result is re-used and all arguments modifyin
inits
Either "random" or "0". If inits is "random" (the default), Stan will randomly generate initial values for parameters. If it is "0", all parameters are initiliazed to zero. This option is recomme
chains
Number of Markov chains (defaults to 2). A deprecated alias is n.chains.
iter
Number of total iterations per chain (including warmup; defaults to 2000). A deprecated alias is n.iter.
warmup
A positive integer specifying number of warmup (aka burnin) iterations. This also specifies the number of iterations used for stepsize adaptation, so warmup samples should not be used for inference. The number of warmup should not be larger than
thin
Thinning rate. Must be a positive integer. Set thin > 1 to save memory and computation time if iter is large. Default is 1, that is no thinning. A deprecated alias is n.thin.
cluster
Number of clusters to use to run parallel chains. Default is 1. A deprecated alias is n.cluster.
cluster_type
A character string specifying the type of cluster created by makeCluster when sampling in parallel (i.e. when cluster is greater 1). Default is
algorithm
Character string indicating the estimation approach to use. Can be "sampling" for MCMC (the default), "meanfield" for variational inference with independent normal distributions, or "fullrank" for variational inf
silent
logical; If TRUE, warning messages of the sampler are suppressed.
seed
Positive integer. Used by set.seed to make results reproducable.
save.model
Either NULL or a character string. In the latter case, the model code is saved in a file named after the string supplied in save.model, which may also contain the full path where to save the file. If only a name is given, t
...
Further arguments to be passed to Stan.

Value

  • An object of class brmsfit, which contains the posterior samples along with many other useful information about the model. Use methods(class = "brmsfit") for an overview on available methods.

Details

Fit a generalized linear mixed model, which incorporates both fixed-effects parameters and random effects in a linear predictor via full bayesian inference using Stan. Formula syntax The formula argument accepts formulas of the following syntax: response | addition ~ fixed + (random | group) Multiple grouping factors each with multiple random effects are possible. Instead of | you may use || in random effects terms to prevent random effects correlations from being modeled. With the exception of addition, this is basically lme4 syntax. The optional addition term may contain multiple terms of the form fun(variable) seperated by | each providing special information on the response variable. fun can be replaced with either se, weights, trials, cat, cens, or trunc. Their meanings are explained below. For families gaussian, student, and cauchy it is possible to specify standard errors of the observation, thus allowing to perform meta-analysis. Suppose that the variable yi contains the effect sizes from the studies and sei the corresponding standard errors. Then, fixed and random effects meta-analyses can be conducted using the formulae yi | se(sei) ~ 1 and yi | se(sei) ~ 1 + (1|study), respectively, where study is a variable uniquely identifying every study. If desired, meta-regressen can be performed via yi | se(sei) ~ 1 + mod1 + mod2 + (1|study) or yi | se(sei) ~ 1 + mod1 + mod2 + (1 + mod1 + mod2|study), where mod1 and mod2 represent moderator variables. For all families, weighted regression may be performed using weights in the addition part. Suppose that variable wei contains the weights and that yi is the response variable. Then, formula yi | weights(wei) ~ predictors implements a weighted regression. For families binomial and zero_inflated_binomial, addition should contain a variable indicating the number of trials underlying each observation. In lme4 syntax, we may write for instance cbind(success, n - success), which is equivalent to success | trials(n) in brms syntax. If the number of trials is constant across all observation (say 10), we may also write success | trials(10). For family categorical and all ordinal families, addition may contain a term cat(number) to specify the number categories (e.g, cat(7)). If not given, the number of categories is calculated from the data. With the expection of categorical and ordinal families, left and right censoring can be modeled through yi | cens(censored) ~ predictors. The censoring variable (named censored in this example) should contain the values 'left', 'none', and 'right' (or equivalenty -1, 0, and 1) to indicate that the corresponding observation is left censored, not censored, or right censored. With the expection of categorical and ordinal families, the response distribution can be truncated using the trunc function in the addition part. If the response variable is truncated between, say, 0 and 100, we can specify this via yi | trunc(lb = 0, ub = 100) ~ predictors. Defining only one of the two arguments in trunc leads to one-sided truncation. Mutiple addition terms may be specified at the same time, for instance formula = yi | se(sei) | cens(censored) ~ 1 for a censored meta-analytic model. For families gaussian, student, and cauchy multivariate models may be specified using cbind notation. Suppose that y1 and y2 are response variables and x is a predictor. Then cbind(y1,y2) ~ x specifies a multivariate model, where x has the same effect on y1 and y2. To indicate different effects on each response variable, the variable trait (which is reserved in multivariate models) can be used as an additional categorical predictor. For instance, cbind(y1,y2) ~ 0 + x:trait leads to seperate effects of x on y1 and y2. In this case, trait has two levels, namely "y1" and "y2". By default, trait is dummy-coded. It may also be used within random effects terms, both as grouping factor or as random effect within a grouping factor. Note that variable trait is generated internally and may not be specified in the data passed to brm. Zero-inflated and hurdle families are bivariate and also make use of the special internal variable trait having two levels in this case. However, only the actual response must be specified in formula, as the second response variable used for the zero-inflation / hurdle (ZIH) part is internally generated. A formula for this type of models may, for instance, look like this: y ~ 0 + trait * (x1 + x2) + (0 + trait | g). In this example, the fixed effects x1 and x1 influence the ZIH part differently than the actual response part as indicated by their interaction with trait. In addition, a random effect of trait was added while the random intercept was removed leading to the estimation of two random effects, one for the ZIH part and one for the actual response. In the example above, the correlation between the two random effects will also be estimated. Sometimes, predictors should only influence the ZIH part but not the actual response (or vice versa). As this cannot be modeled with the trait variable, two other internally generated and reserved (numeric) variables, namely main and spec, are supported. main is 1 for the response part and 0 for the ZIH part of the model. For spec it is the other way round. Suppose that x1 should only influence the actual response, and x2 only the ZIH process. We can write this as follows: formula = y ~ 0 + main + spec + main:x1 + spec:x2. The main effects of main or spec serve as intercepts, while the interaction terms main:x1 and spec:x2 ensure that x1 and x2 only predict one part of the model, respectively. Using the same syntax as for zero-inflated and hurdle models, it is possible to specify multiplicative effects in family bernoulli (make sure to set argument type to "2PL"; see brmsfamily for more details). In Item Response Theory (IRT), these models are known as 2PL models. Suppose that we have the variables item and person and want to model fixed effects for items and random effects for persons. The discriminality (multiplicative effect) should depend only on the items. We can specify this by setting formula = response ~ 0 + (main + spec):item + (0 + main|person). The random term 0 + main ensures that person does not influence discriminalities. Of course it is possible to predict only discriminalities by using variable spec in the model formulation. To identify the model, multiplicative effects are estimated on the log scale. In addition, we strongly recommend setting proper priors on fixed effects in this case to increase sampling efficiency (for details on priors see set_prior). Families and link functions Family gaussian with identity link leads to linear regression. Families student, and cauchy with identity link leads to robust linear regression that is less influenced by outliers. Families poisson, negbinomial, and geometric with log link lead to regression models for count data. Families binomial and bernoulli with logit link leads to logistic regression and family categorical to multi-logistic regression when there are more than two possible outcomes. Families cumulative, cratio ('contiuation ratio'), sratio ('stopping ratio'), and acat ('adjacent category') leads to ordinal regression. Families Gamma, weibull, exponential, and inverse.gaussian can be used (among others) for survival regression when combined with the log link. Families hurdle_poisson, hurdle_negbinomial, hurdle_gamma, zero_inflated_poisson, and zero_inflated_negbinomial combined with the log link, and zero_inflated_binomial with the logit link, allow to estimate zero-inflated and hurdle models. These models can be very helpful when there are many zeros in the data that cannot be explained by the primary distribution of the response. Family hurdle_gamma is especially useful, as a traditional Gamma model cannot be reasonably fitted for data containing zeros in the response. In the following, we list all possible links for each family. The families gaussian, student, and cauchy accept the links (as names) identity, log, and inverse; families poisson, negbinomial, and geometric the links log, identity, and sqrt; families binomial, bernoulli, Beta, cumulative, cratio, sratio, and acat the links logit, probit, probit_approx, cloglog, and cauchit; family categorical the link logit; families Gamma, weibull, and exponential the links log, identity, and inverse; family inverse.gaussian the links 1/mu^2, inverse, identity and log; families hurdle_poisson, hurdle_negbinomial, hurdle_gamma, zero_inflated_poisson, and zero_inflated_negbinomial the link log. The first link mentioned for each family is the default. Please note that when calling the Gamma family function, the default link will be inverse not log. Also, the probit_approx link cannot be used when calling the binomial family function. The current implementation of inverse.gaussian models has some convergence problems and requires carefully chosen prior distributions to work efficiently. For this reason, we currently do not recommend to use the inverse.gaussian family, unless you really feel that your data requires exactly this type of model. Prior distributions As of brms 0.5.0, priors should be specified using the set_prior function. Its documentation contains detailed information on how to correctly specify priors. To find out on which parameters or parameter classes priors can be defined, use get_prior. Adjusting the sampling behavior of Stan Despite choosing the number of iterations, chains, etc., users can directly change the sampling behavior of the NUTS sampler, by using the control argument (a named list), which is passed directly to Stan when specified in brm. The most important reason to use control is to decrease (or eliminate at best) the number of divergent transitions that cause a bias in the obtained posterior samples. Whenever you see the warning "There were x divergent transitions after warmup. Increasing adapt_delta may help." you should really think about increasing adapt_delta. To do this, write control = list(adapt_delta = ), where should usually be value between 0.8 (default) and 1. Increasing adapt_delta will slow down the sampler but will decrease the number of divergent transitions threatening the validity of your posterior samples. For more details on the control argument see stan.

Examples

Run this code
## Poisson regression for the number of seizures in epileptic patients
## using student_t priors for fixed effects 
## and half cauchy priors for standard deviations of random effects 
fit1 <- brm(count ~ log_Age_c + log_Base4_c * Trt_c 
            + (1|patient) + (1|visit) + (1|obs), 
            data = epilepsy, family = poisson(), 
            prior = c(set_prior("student_t(5,0,10)", class = "b"),
                      set_prior("cauchy(0,2)", class = "sd")))
## generate a summary of the results
summary(fit1)
## plot the MCMC chains as well as the posterior distributions
plot(fit1)
## extract random effects standard devations and covariance matrices
VarCorr(fit1)
## extract random effects for each level
ranef(fit1)
## predict responses based on the fitted model
head(predict(fit1))  
 
## Ordinal regression modeling patient's rating 
## of inhaler instructions with normal priors on fixed effects
fit2 <- brm(rating ~ treat + period + carry, 
            data = inhaler, family = sratio("cloglog"), 
            prior = set_prior("normal(0,5)"))
summary(fit2)
plot(fit2)    

## Surivival regression (with family 'weibull') modeling time between 
## first and second recurrence of an infection in kidney patients.
fit3 <- brm(time | cens(censored) ~ age + sex + disease + (1|patient), 
            data = kidney, family = weibull(), inits = "0")
summary(fit3) 
plot(fit3)    

## Probit regression using the binomial family
n <- sample(1:10, 100, TRUE)  # number of trials
success <- rbinom(100, size = n, prob = 0.4)
x <- rnorm(100)
fit4 <- brm(success | trials(n) ~ x, 
            family = binomial("probit"))
summary(fit4)

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