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ivmte (version 1.1.0)

ivmte: Instrumental Variables: Extrapolation by Marginal Treatment Effects

Description

This function provides a general framework for using the marginal treatment effect (MTE) to extrapolate. The model is the same binary treatment instrumental variable (IV) model considered by Imbens and Angrist (1994) and Heckman and Vytlacil (2005). The framework on which this function is based was developed by Mogstad, Santos and Torgovitsky (2018). See also the recent survey paper on extrapolation in IV models by Mogstad and Torgovitsky (2018). A detailed description of the module and its features can be found in Shea and Torgovitsky (2019).

Usage

ivmte(data, target, late.from, late.to, late.X, genlate.lb, genlate.ub,
  target.weight0 = NULL, target.weight1 = NULL, target.knots0 = NULL,
  target.knots1 = NULL, m0, m1, uname = u, m1.ub, m0.ub, m1.lb, m0.lb,
  mte.ub, mte.lb, m0.dec, m0.inc, m1.dec, m1.inc, mte.dec, mte.inc, ivlike,
  components, subset, propensity, link = "logit", treat,
  lpsolver = NULL, criterion.tol = 0, initgrid.nx = 20,
  initgrid.nu = 20, audit.nx = 2500, audit.nu = 25,
  audit.add = 100, audit.max = 25, point = FALSE,
  point.eyeweight = FALSE, bootstraps = 0, bootstraps.m,
  bootstraps.replace = TRUE, levels = c(0.99, 0.95, 0.9),
  ci.type = "backward", specification.test = TRUE, noisy = TRUE,
  smallreturnlist = FALSE, seed = 12345, debug = FALSE)

Arguments

data

data.frame or data.table used to estimate the treatment effects.

target

character, target parameter to be estimated. Currently function allows for ATE ('ate'), ATT ('att'), ATU ('atu'), LATE ('late'), and generalized LATE ('genlate').

late.from

a named vector, or a list, declaring the baseline set of values of Z used to define the LATE. The name associated with each value should be the name of the corresponding variable.

late.to

a named vector, or a list, declaring the comparison set of values of Z used to define the LATE. The name associated with each value should be the name of the corresponding variable.

late.X

a named vector, or a list, declaring the values at which to condition on. The name associated with each value should be the name of the corresponding variable.

genlate.lb

lower bound value of unobservable u for estimating the generalized LATE.

genlate.ub

upper bound value of unobservable u for estimating the generalized LATE.

target.weight0

user-defined weight function for the control group defining the target parameter. A list of functions can be submitted if the weighting function is in fact a spline. The arguments of the function should be variable names in data. If the weight is constant across all observations, then the user can instead submit the value of the weight instead of a function.

target.weight1

user-defined weight function for the treated group defining the target parameter. See target.weight0 for details.

target.knots0

user-defined set of functions defining the knots associated with spline weights for the control group. The arguments of the function should consist only of variable names in data. If the knots are constant across all observations, then the user can instead submit the vector of knots instead of a function.

target.knots1

user-defined set of functions defining the knots associated with spline weights for the treated group. See target.knots0 for details.

m0

one-sided formula for the marginal treatment response function for the control group. Splines may also be incorporated using the expression uSpline, e.g. uSpline(degree = 2, knots = c(0.4, 0.8), intercept = TRUE). The intercept argument may be omitted, and is set to TRUE by default.

m1

one-sided formula for marginal treatment response function for treated group. Splines can also be incorporated using the expression "uSplines(degree, knots, intercept)". The intercept argument may be omitted, and is set to TRUE by default.

uname

variable name for the unobservable used in declaring the MTRs. The name can be provided with or without quotation marks.

m1.ub

numeric value for upper bound on MTR for the treated group. By default, this will be set to the largest value of the observed outcome in the estimation sample.

m0.ub

numeric value for upper bound on MTR for the control group. By default, this will be set to the largest value of the observed outcome in the estimation sample.

m1.lb

numeric value for lower bound on MTR for the treated group. By default, this will be set to the smallest value of the observed outcome in the estimation sample.

m0.lb

numeric value for lower bound on MTR for the control group. By default, this will be set to the smallest value of the observed outcome in the estimation sample.

mte.ub

numeric value for upper bound on treatment effect parameter of interest.

mte.lb

numeric value for lower bound on treatment effect parameter of interest.

m0.dec

logical, set to FALSE by default. Set equal to TRUE if the MTR for the control group should be weakly monotone decreasing.

m0.inc

logical, set to FALSE by default. Set equal to TRUE if the MTR for the control group should be weakly monotone increasing.

m1.dec

logical, set to FALSE by default. Set equal to TRUE if the MTR for the treated group should be weakly monotone decreasing.

m1.inc

logical, set to FALSE by default. Set equal to TRUE if the MTR for the treated group should be weakly monotone increasing.

mte.dec

logical, set to FALSE by default. Set equal to TRUE if the MTE should be weakly monotone decreasing.

mte.inc

logical, set to FALSE by default. Set equal to TRUE if the MTE should be weakly monotone increasing.

ivlike

formula or vector of formulas specifying the regressions for the IV-like estimands. Which coefficients to use to define the constraints determining the treatment effect bounds (alternatively, the moments determining the treatment effect point estimate) can be selected in the argument components.

components

a list of vectors of the terms in the regression specifications to include in the set of IV-like estimands. No terms should be in quotes. To select the intercept term, include the name intercept. If the factorized counterpart of a variable is included in the IV-like specifications, e.g. factor(x) where x = 1, 2, 3, the user can select the coefficients for specific factors by declaring the components factor(x)-1, factor(x)-2, factor(x)-3. See l on how to input the argument. If no components for a IV specification are given, then all coefficients from that IV specification will be used to define constraints in the partially identified case, or to define moments in the point identified case.

subset

a single subset condition or list of subset conditions corresponding to each regression specified in ivlike. The input must be logical. See l on how to input the argument. If the user wishes to select specific rows, construct a binary variable in the data set, and set the condition to use only those observations for which the binary variable is 1, e.g. the binary variable is use, and the subset condition is use == 1.

propensity

formula or variable name corresponding to propensity to take up treatment. If a formula is declared, then the function estimates the propensity score according to the formula and link specified in link. If a variable name is declared, then the corresponding column in the data is taken as the vector of propensity scores. A variable name can be passed either as a string (e.g propensity = 'p'). , a variable (e.g. propensity = p), or a one-sided formula (e.g. propensity = ~p.

link

character, name of link function to estimate propensity score. Can be chosen from 'linear', 'probit', or 'logit'. Default is set to 'logit'.

treat

variable name for treatment indicator. The name can be provided with or without quotation marks.

lpsolver

character, name of the linear programming package in R used to obtain the bounds on the treatment effect. The function supports 'gurobi', 'cplexapi', 'lpsolveapi'.

criterion.tol

tolerance for violation of observational equivalence, set to 0 by default. Statistical noise may prohibit the theoretical LP problem from being feasible. That is, there may not exist a set of coefficients on the MTR that are observationally equivalent with regard to the IV-like regression coefficients. The function therefore first estimates the minimum violation of observational equivalence. This is reported in the output under the name 'minimum criterion'. The constraints in the LP problem pertaining to observational equivalence are then relaxed by the amount minimum criterion * (1 + criterion.tol). Set criterion.tol to a value greater than 0 to allow for more conservative bounds.

initgrid.nx

integer determining the number of points of the covariates used to form the initial constraint grid for imposing shape restrictions on the MTRs.

initgrid.nu

integer determining the number of evenly spread points in the interval [0, 1] of the unobservable u used to form the initial constraint grid for imposing shape restrictions on the MTRs.

audit.nx

integer determining the number of points on the covariates space to audit in each iteration of the audit procedure.

audit.nu

integer determining the number of points in the interval [0, 1], corresponding to space of unobservable u, to audit in each iteration of the audit procedure.

audit.add

maximum number of points to add to the initial constraint grid for imposing each kind of shape constraint. For example, if there are 5 different kinds of shape constraints, there can be at most audit.add * 5 additional points added to the constraint grid.

audit.max

maximum number of iterations in the audit procedure.

point

boolean, default set to FALSE. Set to TRUE if it is believed that the treatment effects are point identified. If set to TRUE, then a two-step GMM procedure is implemented to estimate the treatment effects. Shape constraints on the MTRs will be ignored under point identification.

point.eyeweight

boolean, default set to FALSE. Set to TRUE if the GMM point estimate should use the identity weighting matrix (i.e. one-step GMM).

bootstraps

integer, default set to 0.

bootstraps.m

integer, default set to size of data set. Determines the size of the subsample drawn from the original data set when performing inference via the bootstrap. This option applies only to the case of constructing confidence intervals for treatment effect bounds, i.e. it does not apply when point = TRUE.

bootstraps.replace

boolean, default set to TRUE. This determines whether the resampling procedure used for inference will sample with replacement.

levels

vector of real numbers between 0 and 1. Values correspond to the level of the confidence intervals constructed via bootstrap.

ci.type

character, default set to 'both'. Set to 'forward' to construct the forward confidence interval for the treatment effect bound. Set to 'backward' to construct the backward confidence interval for the treatment effect bound. Set to 'both' to construct both types of confidence intervals.

specification.test

boolean, default set to TRUE. Function performs a specificaiton test for the partially identified case when bootstraps > 0.

noisy

boolean, default set to TRUE. If TRUE, then messages are provided throughout the estimation procedure. Set to FALSE to suppress all messages, e.g. when performing the bootstrap.

smallreturnlist

boolean, default set to FALSE. Set to TRUE to exclude large intermediary components (i.e. propensity score model, LP model, bootstrap iterations) from being included in the return list.

seed

integer, the seed that determines the random grid in the audit procedure.

debug

boolean, indicates whether or not the function should provide output when obtaining bounds. The option is only applied when lpsolver = 'gurobi'. The output provided is the same as what the Gurobi API would send to the console.

Value

Returns a list of results from throughout the estimation procedure. This includes all IV-like estimands; the propensity score model; bounds on the treatment effect; the estimated expectations of each term in the MTRs; the components and results of the LP problem.

Details

The return list includes the following objects.

sset

a list of all the coefficient estimates and weights corresponding to each element in the S-set.

gstar

a list containing the estimate of the weighted means for each component in the MTRs. The weights are determined by the target parameter declared in target, or the weights defined by target.weight1, target.knots1, target.weight0, target.knots0.

gstar.weights

a list containing the target weights used to estimate gstar.

gstar.coef

a list containing the coefficients on the treated and control group MTRs.

propensity

the propensity score model. If a variable is fed to the propensity argument when calling ivmte, then the returned object is a list containing the name of variable given by the user, and the values of that variable used in estimation.

bounds

a vector with the estimated lower and upper bounds of the target treatment effect.

lpresult

a list containing the LP model, and the full output from solving the LP problem.

audit.grid

the audit grid on which all shape constraints were satisfied.

audit.count

the number of audits required until there were no more violations.

audit.criterion

the minimum criterion.

splinesdict

a list including the specifications of each spline declared in each MTR.

Examples

Run this code
# NOT RUN {
dtm <- ivmte:::gendistMosquito()

ivlikespecs <- c(ey ~ d | z,
                 ey ~ d | factor(z),
                 ey ~ d,
                 ey ~ d | factor(z))
jvec <- l(d, d, d, d)
svec <- l(, , , z %in% c(2, 4))

ivmte(ivlike = ivlikespecs,
      data = dtm,
      components = jvec,
      propensity = d ~ z,
      subset = svec,
      m0 = ~  u + I(u ^ 2),
      m1 = ~  u + I(u ^ 2),
      uname = u,
      target = "att",
      m0.dec = TRUE,
      m1.dec = TRUE,
      bootstraps = 0,
      lpsolver = "lpSolveAPI")

# }

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