m8: Create an M8 type extension of the Cairns-Blake-Dowd mortality model
Description
Utility function to initialise a StMoMo object representing the
M8 extension of the Cairns-Blake-Dowd mortality model introduced
in Cairns et al (2009).
Usage
m8(link = c("logit", "log"), xc)
Arguments
link
defines the link function and random component associated with
the mortality model. "log" would assume that deaths follow a
Poisson distribution and use a log link while "logit" would
assume that deaths follow a Binomial distribution and a logit link.
Note that the default is the logit link.
xc
constant defining the cohort age-modulating parameter.
Value
An object of class "StMoMo".
Details
The created model is either a logit-Binomial or a log-Poisson version of
the M8 model which has predictor structure
$$\eta_{xt} = \kappa_t^{(1)} + (x-\bar{x})\kappa_t^{(2)} + (x_c-x)\gamma_{t-x}$$
where \(\bar{x}\) is the average age in the data and \(x_c\) is a
predefined constant.
Identifiability of the model is accomplished by applying parameters
constraint
$$\sum_c\gamma_c = 0.$$
References
Cairns, A. J. G., Blake, D., Dowd, K., Coughlan, G. D., Epstein, D.,
Ong, A., & Balevich, I. (2009). A quantitative comparison of stochastic
mortality models using data from England and Wales and the United States.
North American Actuarial Journal, 13(1), 1-35.