BinomialBacktest: Carries out the binomial backtest for a VaR risk measurement model.
Description
The basic idea behind binomial backtest (also called basic frequency
test) is to test whether the observed frequency of losses that exceed VaR is
consistent with the frequency of tail losses predicted by the mode. Binomial
Backtest carries out the binomial backtest for a VaR risk measurement model
for specified VaR confidence level and for a one-sided alternative
hypothesis (H1).
Usage
BinomialBacktest(x, n, cl)
Arguments
x
Number of failures
n
Number of observations
cl
Confidence level for VaR
Value
Probability that the VaR model is correct
References
Dowd, Kevin. Measuring Market Risk, Wiley, 2007.
Kupiec, Paul. Techniques for verifying the accuracy of risk measurement
models, Journal of Derivatives, Winter 1995, p. 79.