Determine initialization month based on month being forecast and lag.
Considers lags up to 11 months in advance.
Usage
get_init_month(month, lag)
Arguments
month
forecast month (integer from 1 to 12 corresponing to month of year)
lag
months in advance prediction is being made (integer from 1 to 11).
Value
integer corresponding to the initialization month
Details
Note that this calculation assumes that the prediction for a month
is its on first day. This differs from the labeling used in Director
et al. (2017) which rounds up to the nearest full month.