ElectionMargin: Election Margin
Description
Approval rating and election margin for recent presidential elections
Format
A data frame with 11 observations on the following 5 variables.
Year Certain election years from 1940-2004
Candidate Incumbent US president
Approval Presidential approval rating at time of election
Margin margin of victory/defeat (as a percentage)
Result Outcome of the election for the imbumbent: Lost
or Won
Source
Silver, Nate, "Approval Ratings and Re-Election Odds",
fivethirtyeight.com, posted January 28, 2011.Details
Data include US Presidential elections since 1940 in which an incumbent was
running for president. The approval rating for the sitting president is
comapred to the margin of victory/defeat in the election.