Computes mean and variance of the part of the posterior distribution that relies on starting values. It then computes the density of the first p observations of Y.
FUNcov(Xcubs, Xc, Y, mu, phi, beta, sigma, phiC, sigmaC)
matrix containing lags of cubs.
matrix containing the contemporaneous cycle and lags thereof..
a Tn x 1
vector.
constant parameter.
cubs lag coeefficients.
cycle coefficients.
innovation variance.
cycle process parameter vector.
cycle innovation variance