RXshrink (version 1.4.3)

unr.ridge: Unrestricted Maximum Likelihood (ML) Shrinkage using a Piecewise Linear-Spline PATH

Description

Compute and display TRACEs for the p-paramater Shrinkage PATH passing through the (classical) Normal-theory Maximum Likelihhod (ML) point-estimate of the Beta coefficient vector. The m-Extent of overall Optimal Shrinkage corresponding to this solution is marked by a vertical dashed-line on all 5-types of unr.ridge TRACE displays.

Usage

unr.ridge(form, data, rscale = 1, steps = 8, delmax = 0.999999)

Arguments

form

A regression formula [y~x1+x2+...] suitable for use with lm().

data

Data frame containing observations on all variables in the formula.

rscale

One of three possible choices (0, 1 or 2) for "rescaling" of variables (after being "centered") to remove all "non-essential" ill-conditioning: 0 implies no rescaling; 1 implies divide each variable by its standard error; 2 implies rescale as in option 1 but re-express answers as in option 0.

steps

Number of equally spaced values per unit change along the horizontal M-extent-of-shrinkage axis for estimates to be calculated and displayed in TRACES (default = 8.)

delmax

Maximum allowed value for Shrinkage delta-factors that is strictly less than 1. (default = 0.999999, which prints as 1 when rounded to fewer than 6 decimal places.)

Value

An output list object of class unr.ridge:

data

Name of the data.frame object specified as the second argument.

form

The regression formula specified as the first argument.

p

Number of regression predictor variables.

n

Number of complete observations after removal of all missing values.

r2

Numerical value of R-square goodness-of-fit statistic.

s2

Numerical value of the residual mean square estimate of error.

prinstat

Listing of principal statistics.

rscale

Variable re-scaling code of 0, 1 or 2 used in calculations.

data

data.frame containing all variables listed in the formula.

gmat

Orthogonal Matrix of Direction Cosines for Principal Axes.

coef

Matrix of shrinkage-ridge regression coefficient estimates.

rmse

Matrix of MSE risk estimates for fitted coefficients.

exev

Matrix of excess MSE eigenvalues (ordinary least squares minus ridge.)

infd

Matrix of direction cosines for the estimated inferior direction, if any.

spat

Matrix of shrinkage pattern multiplicative delta factors.

mlik

Listing of criteria for maximum likelihood selection of M-extent-of-shrinkage.

sext

Listing of summary statistics for all M-extents-of-shrinkage.

mUnr

Unrestricted m-Extent of Shrinkage corresponding to k* == 1 on TRACE displays.

mClk

Most Likely Extent of Shrinkage Observed: best multiple of (1/steps) <= p.

minC

Minimum Observed Value of Normal-theory -2*log(Likelihood-Ratio).

dMSE

Most Likely to be Optimal-values for Shrinkage Delta-factors [1:p].

Details

Ill-conditioned and/or nearly multi-collinear regression models are unlikely to produce Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression coefficient estimates that are very close, numerically, to their unknown true values. Specifically, OLS estimates can then tend to have "wrong" numerical signs and/or unreasonable relative magnitudes, while shrunken (generalized ridge) estimates chosen to maximize their likelihood of reducing Mean Squared Error (MSE) Risk (expected loss) can be much more stable and reasonable, numerically. On the other hand, because only OLS estimates are guaranteed to be minimax when risk is matrix valued (truly multivariate), no guarantee of an actual reduction in MSE Risk is necessarily associated with shrinkage.

References

Thompson JR. (1968) Some shrinkage techniques for estimating the mean. Journal of the American Statistical Association 63, 113-122. (The ``cubic'' estimator.)

Obenchain RL. (1978) Good and Optimal Ridge Estimators. Annals of Statistics 6, 1111-1121. <doi:10.1214/aos/1176344314>

Obenchain RL. (2005) Shrinkage Regression: ridge, BLUP, Bayes, spline and Stein. Electronic book-in-progress; 185+ pages. http://localcontrolstatistics.org

Obenchain RL. (2020) Ridge TRACE Diagnostics. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.14291

Obenchain RL. (2020) The Unrestricted Shrinkage Path: Technical Details. "unrPath.pdf" http://localcontrolstatistics.org

Obenchain RL. (2020) RXshrink_in_R.PDF RXshrink package vignette-like file. http://localcontrolstatistics.org

See Also

mofk, kofm, correct.signs, MLtrue and RXpredict.

Examples

Run this code
# NOT RUN {
  data(longley2)
  form <- Employed~GNP+GNP.deflator+Unemployed+Armed.Forces+Population+Year
  rxuobj <- unr.ridge(form, data=longley2)
  rxuobj
  plot(rxuobj)
  str(rxuobj)
# }

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