Tools to Support the Sheffield Elicitation Framework (SHELF)
Description
Implements various methods for eliciting a probability distribution for a single parameter from an expert or a group of experts. The expert provides a small number of probability or quantile judgements, corresponding to points on his or her cumulative distribution function. A range of parametric distributions can then be fitted and displayed, with feedback provided in the form of additional quantiles. A graphical interface for the roulette elicitation method is also provided. For multiple experts, a weighted linear pool can be calculated.