Tools to Support the Sheffield Elicitation Framework (SHELF)
Description
Implements various methods for eliciting a probability distribution
for a single parameter from an expert or a group of experts. The expert
provides a small number of probability or quantile judgements, corresponding
to points on his or her cumulative distribution function. A range of parametric
distributions can then be fitted and displayed, with feedback provided in the
form of additional quantiles. A graphical interface for the roulette elicitation
method is also provided. For multiple experts, a weighted linear pool can be
calculated. Also includes functions for eliciting beliefs about population distributions.