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bdynsys (version 1.0)

Bayesian Dynamical System Model

Description

The package bdynsys for panel/longitudinal data combines methods to model changes in up to four indicators over times as a function of the indicators itself and up to three predictors using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with polynomial terms that allow to model complex and nonlinear effects. A Bayesian model selection approach is implemented. The package provides also visualisation tools to plot phase portraits of the dynamic system, showing the complex co-evolution of two indicators over time with the possibility to highlight trajectories for specified entities (e.g. countries, individuals). Furthermore the visualisation tools allow for making predictions of the trajectories of specified entities with respect to the indicators.

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Version

Install

install.packages('bdynsys')

Monthly Downloads

50

Version

1.0

License

GNU General Public License (>= 2)

Maintainer

Viktoria Spaiser

Last Published

July 30th, 2013

Functions in bdynsys (1.0)

FittingDynamicSystemModels(InternalMethod)

Fitting of Dynamic System Models
BayesianModelFitting(InternalMethod)

Bayesian Model Fitting with Polynomial Terms als Predictors and Changes as Dependent Variable
DynamicSystemModeling(InternalMethod)

Modeling Dynamic Complex Systems with Ordinary Differential Equations
BayesianDynamicSystemModeling

Bayesian Dynamic System Modeling
BayesFactorsPlot

Bayes Factors Plot
ControllingErrorCorrelations

Controlling Error Correlations in Models with Panel Data
PhasePortraitDataTrajectories

Phase Potrait with Data Trajectories for Specified Entities
BayesianFactorComputation(InternalMethod)

Bayesian Model Selection with Bayesian Factor Computation
DataProcessing(InternalMethod)

Data Processing for Bayesian Dynamic System Modeling
PolynomialTermsRegression(InternalMethod)

Least Square Regression with Polynomial Terms als Predictors and Changes as Dependent Variable
PlotDataInPhasePlane

Plotting Data in Phase Plane with Data Trajectories for Specified Entities
SelectTerms(InternalMethod)

Deriving Best Models and their Polynomial Terms for Bayesian Model Fitting
PhasePortraitModelTrajectories

Phase Potrait with Modeled Trajectories for Specified Entities
datap

Test Panel Data Set: Cultural Values, GDP and Democracy from 1981-2012 in 74 countries
FinindexOfModelterms(InternalMethod)

Finding Indexes of Polynomial Modelterms