bnRep (version 0.0.3)

earthquake: earthquake Bayesian Network

Description

A Bayesian Network risk model for estimating coastal maritime transportation delays following an earthquake in British Columbia.

Value

An object of class bn.fit. Refer to the documentation of bnlearn for details.

Format

A discrete Bayesian network for estimating the delays in maritime transportation to island communities in British Columbia, resulting from a major earthquake in the region. Probabilities were given within the referenced paper. The vertices are:

AD

Arrival-related delays (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

BSA

Bridge safety assessment required (Yes, No);

BSD

Bathymetric survey required - destination (Yes, No);

BSO

Bathymetric survey required - origin (Yes, No);

BVOR

Bridge over navigation route (Yes, No);

CIDD

Communication infrastructure damage - destination (Low, Medium, High);

CIDO

Communication infrastructure damage - origin (Low, Medium, High);

CN

Community needs (Low, Medium, High);

CSR

Communication system restauration required (Yes, No);

DAC

Delay due to arranging crew members (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

DD

Departure-related delays (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

DDG

Delay in dangerous goods reporting (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

DGR

Dangerous good reporting required (Yes, No);

DL

Destination location (V_Isl_W, V_Isl_E, V_Isl_S);

DTWD

Delay due to tsunami warning - destination (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

DTWO

Delay due to tsunami warning - origin (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

EEL

Earthquake epicentre location (V_Isl_W_offshore, V_Isl_E_offshore, V_Isl_Inland, BC_ML);

ESD

Earthquake severity - destination (VI_or_less, VII, VIII, IX, X_or_more);

ESO

Earthquake severity - origin (VI_or_less, VII, VIII, IX, X_or_more);

ESR

Earthquake severity - regional (VI_or_less, VII, VIII, IX, X_or_more);

MMSC

Mandatory minimum ship crew required (Yes, No);

OL

Origin location (V_Isl_W, V_Isl_E, V_Isl_S, BC_ML);

PAD

Personnel availability - destination (Low, Medium, High);

PAO

Personnel availability - origin (Low, Medium, High);

RD

Route delay (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TBS

Time required for bridge safety assessment (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TBSD

Time required for bathymetric survey - destination (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TBSO

Time required for bathymetric survey - origin (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TCSD

Time required for communication system restauration - destination (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TCSO

Time required for communication system restauration - origin (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TIDD

Terminal infrastructure damage - destination (Low, Medium, High);

TIDO

Terminal infrastructure damage - origin (Low, Medium, High);

TTRD

Time required for terminal recovery ops - destination (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TTRO

Time required for terminal recovery ops - origin (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

TWD

Tsunami warning - destination (Yes, No);

TWO

Tsunami warning - origin (Yes, No);

VD

Voyage-related delays (L0, B0_6, B6_12, B12_24, B24_48, M48);

VT

Vessel type (BC_Ferries, Seaspan, Barge);

WIDD

Waterway infrastructure damage - destination (Low, Medium, High);

WIDO

Waterway infrastructure damage - origin (Low, Medium, High);

References

Goerlandt, F., & Islam, S. (2021). A Bayesian Network risk model for estimating coastal maritime transportation delays following an earthquake in British Columbia. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 214, 107708.