These data come from the first systematic panel study on voting, conducted by Lazarsfeld and his associates in Erie County, Ohio in 1940 (Lazersfeld et al, 1948; Lazarsfeld, 1972, Wiggins, 1973, Hagenaars, 1993). The data are presented in Table 6.3 and refer to the variables \(A\) -- Party preference at time 1 -- August 1940 (1.\ Republican 2.\ Democrat), \(B\) -- Presidential Candidate preference at time 1 (1.\ for Willkie 2.\ against Willkie), \(C\) -- Party preference at time 2 -- October 1940, and \(D\) -- Presidential Candidate preference at time 2. Wendell Willkie was the (defeated) 1940 Republican presidential candidate running against the Democrat Franklin D. Roosevelt.
Section 6.3 in Bergsma, Croon, and Hagenaars (2009)
data(ErieCounty)
A data frame with 266 observations on the following variables.
A
Party Preference \(T_1\) (August 1940): 1 = Democrat; 2 = Republican;
B
Candidate Preference \(T_1\) (August 1940): 1 = for Willkie; 2 = against Willkie;
C
Party Preference \(T_2\) (October 1940): 1 = Democrat; 2 = Republican;
D
Candidate Preference \(T_2\) (October 1940): 1 = for Willkie; 2 = against Willkie;
Bergsma, W. P., Croon, M. A., & Hagenaars, J. A. P. (2009). Marginal models for dependent, clustered, and longitudinal categorical data. Berlin: Springer