computeDIC_ASV

Function for calculating DIC and Pb (Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit by Spiegelhalter et al. 2002)

Provides efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for
dynamic shrinkage processes, which extend global-local shrinkage priors to
the time series setting by allowing shrinkage to depend on its own past.
These priors yield locally adaptive estimates, useful for time series and
regression functions with irregular features. The package includes full MCMC
implementations for trend filtering using dynamic shrinkage on signal differences,
producing locally constant or linear fits with adaptive credible bands.
Also included are models with static shrinkage and normal-inverse-Gamma priors for comparison.
Additional tools cover dynamic regression with time-varying coefficients and
B-spline models with shrinkage on basis differences, allowing for flexible
curve-fitting with unequally spaced data. Some support for heteroscedastic errors,
outlier detection, and change point estimation.
Methods in this package are described in Kowal et al. (2019) <doi:10.1111/rssb.12325>,
Wu et al. (2024) <doi:10.1080/07350015.2024.2362269>, Schafer and Matteson (2024)
<doi:10.1080/00401706.2024.2407316>, and Cho and Matteson (2024) <doi:10.48550/arXiv.2408.11315>.

Toryn Schafer

Dynamic Shrinkage Process and Change Point Detection

Daniel R. Kowal

Haoxuan Wu

Jason B. Cho

David S. Matteson

computeDIC_ASV function

<dl><dt>y</dt>
<dd>the <code>T x 1</code> vector of time series observations.</dd>
<dt>beta</dt>
<dd>the known mean of the process. 0 by default.</dd>
<dt>post_sigma2</dt>
<dd>posterior samples of the variance, i.e. exp(h)</dd>
<dt>post_loglike</dt>
<dd>log likelihood based on the posterior sample.</dd></dl>

Arguments

Function for calculating DIC and Pb (Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit by Spiegelhalter et al. 2002) — computeDIC_ASV

<dl>

<dt>y</dt>
<dd>the <code>T x 1</code> vector of time series observations.</dd>


<dt>beta</dt>
<dd>the known mean of the process. 0 by default.</dd>


<dt>post_sigma2</dt>
<dd>posterior samples of the variance, i.e. exp(h)</dd>


<dt>post_loglike</dt>
<dd>log likelihood based on the posterior sample.</dd>

</dl>

computeDIC_ASV: Function for calculating DIC and Pb (Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit by Spiegelhalter et al. 2002)

Description

Usage

Value

Arguments