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ensembleBMA (version 5.0.2)

Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

Description

Bayesian Model Averaging to create probabilistic forecasts from ensemble forecasts and weather observations.

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Version

Install

install.packages('ensembleBMA')

Monthly Downloads

473

Version

5.0.2

License

GPL (>= 2)

Maintainer

Chris Fraley

Last Published

November 9th, 2011

Functions in ensembleBMA (5.0.2)

combine

Combine Compatible BMA Models
verifPlot

Plot observations along with median, 10th and 90th percentile forecasts.
MAE

Mean Absolute Error
controlBMAgamma

Control parameters for BMA wind speed modeling
pitHist

PIT Histogram
cdf

Cummulative Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting models
crps

Continuous Ranked Probability Score
ensembleBMAnormal

BMA mixture of normals modeling
fitBMAnormal

BMA mixture of normals fit to a training set
fitBMA

BMA model fit to a training set
srftGrid

Gridded Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts
trainingData

Extract Training Data
prcpGrid

Gridded Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation
dateCheck

Checks date format.
controlBMAnormal

Control parameters for BMA mixtures of normals
ymdhTOjul

Convert to Julian dates.
quantileForecast

Quantile forecasts at observation locations
ensembleBMAgamma0

BMA precipitation modeling
ensembleBMA

BMA mixture model fit
fitBMAgamma0

BMA precipitation model fit to a training set
prcpFit

BMA Model Fit to Precipitation Data
pit

Probability Integral Transform for ensemble forcasting models
verifRankHist

Verification Rank and Histogram
plotProbcast

Surface plots for forecast information.
srft

Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts and Observations
plot.ensembleBMA

Plot the Predictive Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting models
ensBMAtest

Ensemble BMA Test Data Set
controlBMAgamma0

Control parameters for BMA precipitation modeling
ensembleData

Create an ensembleData object
brierScore

Brier Scores
ensembleBMAgamma

BMA wind speed modeling
modelParameters

Extract model parameters
fitBMAgamma

BMA precipitation model fit to a training set
julTOymdh

Convert Julian dates to character format.
prcpDJdata

Precipitation Data