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ensembleBMA (version 5.1.5)

Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

Description

Bayesian Model Averaging to create probabilistic forecasts from ensemble forecasts and weather observations.

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Version

Install

install.packages('ensembleBMA')

Monthly Downloads

668

Version

5.1.5

License

GPL (>= 2)

Maintainer

Chris Fraley interim

Last Published

January 18th, 2018

Functions in ensembleBMA (5.1.5)

controlBMAgamma

Control parameters for BMA wind speed modeling
controlBMAgamma0

Control parameters for BMA precipitation modeling
dateCheck

Checks date format.
ensBMAtest

Ensemble BMA Test Data Set
cdf

Cummulative Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting models
combine

Combine Compatible BMA Models
ensembleBMA

BMA mixture model fit
ensembleBMAgamma

BMA wind speed modeling
ensembleData

Create an ensembleData object
fitBMA

BMA model fit to a training set
prcpFit

BMA Model Fit to Precipitation Data
prcpGrid

Gridded Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation
plotProbcast

Surface plots for forecast information.
prcpDJdata

Precipitation Data
srftGrid

Gridded Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts
trainingData

Extract Training Data
fitBMAgamma

BMA wind speed model fit to a training set
fitBMAgamma0

BMA precipitation model fit to a training set
controlBMAnormal

Control parameters for BMA mixtures of normals
crps

Continuous Ranked Probability Score
ensembleBMAgamma0

BMA precipitation modeling
ensembleBMAnormal

BMA mixture of normals modeling
modelParameters

Extract model parameters
fitBMAnormal

BMA mixture of normals fit to a training set
julTOymdh

Convert Julian dates to character format.
pitHist

PIT Histogram
plot.ensembleBMA

Plot the Predictive Distribution Function for ensemble forcasting models
verifRankHist

Verification Rank and Histogram
pit

Probability Integral Transform for ensemble forcasting models
verifPlot

Plot observations along with median, 10th and 90th percentile forecasts.
MAE

Mean Absolute Error
brierScore

Brier Scores
quantileForecast

Quantile forecasts at observation locations
srft

Surface Temperature Ensemble Forecasts and Observations
ymdhTOjul

Convert to Julian dates.