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eventPred (version 0.2.7)

fitDropout: Fit time-to-dropout model

Description

Fits a specified time-to-dropout model to the dropout data.

Usage

fitDropout(
  df,
  dropout_model = "exponential",
  piecewiseDropoutTime = 0,
  k_dropout = 0,
  scale_dropout = "hazard",
  m_dropout = 5,
  showplot = TRUE,
  by_treatment = FALSE,
  covariates = NULL
)

Value

A list of results from the model fit including key information such as the dropout model, model, the estimated model parameters, theta, the covariance matrix, vtheta, as well as the Akaike Information Criterion, aic, and Bayesian Information Criterion, bic.

If the piecewise exponential model is used, the location of knots used in the model, piecewiseDropoutTime, will be included in the list of results.

If the model averaging option is chosen, the weight assigned to the Weibull component is indicated by the w1 variable.

If the spline option is chosen, the knots and scale

will be included in the list of results.

If the cox model option is chosen, the list of results will include model, theta, vtheta, aic, bic, and piecewiseDropoutTime. Here $$\theta = (\log(\lambda_1), \ldots, \log(\lambda_M), \beta^T)^T,$$

\(M\) denotes the number of distinct observed dropout times, \(t_1 < \cdots < t_M\), \(\lambda_j\) denotes the estimated hazard rate in the \(j\)th dropout time interval, \((t_{j-1}, t_j]\), and \(\beta\) represents the regression coefficients (log hazard ratios) from the Cox model. For a fair comparison, the estimation of baseline hazards is incorporated into the aic and bic values. In addition, \(\mbox{piecewiseDropoutTime} = (0, t_1, \ldots, t_M)\). To extend the survival curve beyond the last observed dropout time, a weighted average of the hazard rates from the final m_dropout dropout time intervals is used. The weights are proportional to the lengths of those intervals, i.e., $$\lambda_{M+1} = \sum_{j=M-m_{\rm{dropout}}+1}^{M} w_j \lambda_j,$$

where \(w_j = (t_j - t_{j-1})/(t_M - t_{M-m_{\rm{dropout}}})\) for \(j=M-m_{\rm{dropout}}+1,\ldots,M\).

When fitting the dropout model by treatment, the outcome is presented as a list of lists, where each list element corresponds to a specific treatment group.

The fitted time-to-dropout survival curve is also returned.

Arguments

df

The subject-level dropout data, including time and dropout. The data should also include treatment coded as 1, 2, and so on, and treatment_description for fitting the dropout model by treatment.

dropout_model

The dropout model used to analyze the dropout data which can be set to one of the following options: "exponential", "Weibull", "log-logistic", "log-normal", "piecewise exponential", "model averaging", "spline", or "cox model". The model averaging uses the exp(-bic/2) weighting and combines Weibull and log-normal models. The spline model of Royston and Parmar (2002) assumes that a transformation of the survival function is modeled as a natural cubic spline function of log time. By default, it is set to "exponential".

piecewiseDropoutTime

A vector that specifies the time intervals for the piecewise exponential dropout distribution. Must start with 0, e.g., c(0, 60) breaks the time axis into 2 event intervals: [0, 60) and [60, Inf). By default, it is set to 0.

k_dropout

The number of inner knots of the spline. The default k_dropout=0 gives a Weibull, log-logistic or log-normal model, if scale_dropout is "hazard", "odds", or "normal", respectively. The knots are chosen as equally-spaced quantiles of the log uncensored survival times. The boundary knots are chosen as the minimum and maximum log uncensored survival times.

scale_dropout

If "hazard", the log cumulative hazard is modeled as a spline function. If "odds", the log cumulative odds is modeled as a spline function. If "normal", -qnorm(S(t)) is modeled as a spline function.

m_dropout

The number of dropout time intervals to extrapolate the hazard function beyond the last observed dropout time.

showplot

A Boolean variable to control whether or not to show the fitted time-to-dropout survival curve. By default, it is set to TRUE.

by_treatment

A Boolean variable to control whether or not to fit the time-to-dropout data by treatment group. By default, it is set to FALSE.

covariates

The names of baseline covariates from the input data frame to include in the dropout model, e.g., c("age", "sex"). Factor variables need to be declared in the input data frame.

Author

Kaifeng Lu, kaifenglu@gmail.com

References

Patrick Royston and Mahesh K. B. Parmar. Flexible parametric proportional-hazards and proportional-odds models for censored survival data, with application to prognostic modelling and estimation of treatment effects. Stat in Med. 2002; 21:2175-2197.

Examples

Run this code

dropout_fit <- fitDropout(
  df = interimData2,
  dropout_model = "exponential")

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