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gofCopula (version 0.2-2)

gofPIOSRn: 2 and 3 dimensional gof test based on the in-and-out-of-sample approach

Description

gofPIOSRn tests a 2 or 3 dimensional dataset with the approximate PIOS test for a copula. The possible copulae are "normal", "t", "gumbel", "clayton" and "frank". The parameter estimation is performed with pseudo maximum likelihood method. In case the estimation fails, inversion of Kendall's tau is used. The approximate p-values are computed with a semiparametric bootstrap, which computation can be accelerated by enabling in-build parallel computation.

Usage

gofPIOSRn(copula, x, M = 1000, param = 0.5, param.est = T, df = 4, df.est = T, margins = "ranks", dispstr = "ex",execute.times.comp = T, processes = 1)

Arguments

copula
The copula to test for. Possible are the copulae "normal", "t", "clayton", "gumbel" and "frank".
x
A 2 or 3 dimensional matrix containing the residuals of the data.
M
Number of bootstrapping loops.
param
The parameter to be used.
param.est
Shall be either TRUE or FALSE. TRUE means that param will be estimated with a maximum likelihood estimation.
df
Degrees of freedom, if not meant to be estimated. Only necessary if tested for "t"-copula.
df.est
Indicates if df shall be estimated. Has to be either FALSE or TRUE, where TRUE means that it will be estimated.
margins
Specifies which estimation method shall be used in case that the input data are not in the range [0,1]. The default is "ranks", which is the standard approach to convert data in such a case. Alternatively can the following distributions be specified: "beta", "cauchy", Chi-squared ("chisq"), "f", "gamma", Log normal ("lnorm"), Normal ("norm"), "t", "weibull", Exponential ("exp").
dispstr
A character string specifying the type of the symmetric positive definite matrix characterizing the elliptical copula. Implemented structures are "ex" for exchangeable and "un" for unstructured, see package copula.
execute.times.comp
Logical. Defines if the time which the estimation most likely takes shall be computed. It'll be just given if M is at least 100.
processes
The number of parallel processes which are performed to speed up the bootstrapping. Shouldn't be higher than the number of logical processors. Please see the details.

Value

A object of the class gofCOP with the components gofCOP with the components

Details

The "Rn" test is introduced in Zhang et al. (2015). It is a information ratio statistic which is approximately equivalent to the "Tn" test, which is the PIOS test. Both test the $H0$ hypothesis $$H_0 : C_0 \in \mathcal{C}.$$ "Rn" is introduced because the "Tn" test has to estimate $n/m$ parameters which can be computationally demanding. The test statistic of the "Tn" test is defined as $$T = \sum_{b=1}^M \sum_{k=1}^m [l\{U_k^b;\theta_n \} - l\{U_k^b;\theta_n^{-b} \}]$$

with $l$ the log likelihood function, the pseudo observations $U[ij]$ for $i = 1, ...,n$; $j = 1, ...,d$ and $$\theta_n = \arg \min_{\theta} \sum_{i=1}^n l(U_i; \theta)$$ and $$\theta_n^{-b} = \arg \min_{\theta} \sum_{b^{'} \neq b}^M \sum_{k=1}^m l(U_k^{b^{'}}; \theta), b=1, \dots, M.$$

By defining two information matrices $$S(\theta) = - E_0 [\frac{\partial^2}{\partial \theta \partial \theta^{\top}}l \{U_1; \theta \} ],$$ $$V(\theta) = - E_0 [\frac{\partial}{\partial \theta} l \{U_1; \theta \} l^{\top} \{U_1; \theta \} ]$$ where $S(.)$ represents the negative sensitivity matrix, $V(.)$ the variability matrix and $E0$ is the expectation under the true copula $C0$. Under suitable regularity conditions, given in Zhang et al. (2015), holds then in probability, that $$T = tr\{S(\theta^{*})^{-1} - V(\theta^{*}) \}$$ as $n -> infinity.$

The approximate p-value is computed by the formula $$\sum_{b=1}^M \mathbf{I}(|T_b| \geq |T|) / M,$$ For more details, see Zhang et al. (2015). The applied estimation method is the two-step pseudo maximum likelihood approach, see Genest and Rivest (1995).

For small values of M, initializing the parallization via processes does not make sense. The registration of the parallel processes increases the computation time. Please consider to enable parallelization just for high values of M.

References

Zhang, S., Okhrin, O., Zhou, Q., and Song, P.. Goodness-of-fit Test For Specification of Semiparametric Copula Dependence Models. under revision in Journal of Econometrics from 15.01.2014 http://sfb649.wiwi.hu-berlin.de/papers/pdf/SFB649DP2013-041.pdf Genest, C., K. G. and Rivest, L.-P. (1995). A semiparametric estimation procedure of dependence parameters in multivariate families of distributions. Biometrika, 82:534-552

Examples

Run this code
data(IndexReturns)

gofPIOSRn("normal", IndexReturns[c(1:100),c(1:2)], M = 20)

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