Make auto-regressive (AR) samples for extrapolation past end point to help with right-censoring problems.
make_ar_extrap_samps(
reported,
num_ar_steps = 10,
num_ar_samps = 50,
seed = 1,
linear_tail = 14,
extrapolation_prior_precision = 2
)
An integer vector of reported cases.
An integer number of AR steps after last observation.
An integer number of AR samples.
Seed for RNG.
An integer number of days used to fit linear model on tail to be used as a mean for AR extrapolation.
A positive scalar for extrapolation slope shrinkage prior precision.
A matrix of size (num_ar_samps x n + num_ar_steps)