mem (version 1.3)

mem-package: Moving Epidemics Method R Package

Description

This package creates the model described in the Moving Epidemics Method (MEM), used to monitor influenza activity during the seasonal surveillance.

Details

ll{ Package: mem Type: Package Title: Moving Epidemics Method R Package. Version: 1.3 Date: 2013-06-24 Author: Jose E. Lozano Alonso Maintainer: Jose E. Lozano Alonso Depends: R (>= 3.00.1) Description: Modelization of influenza epidemics in order to monitor future activity. License: GPL (>= 2) } Functions to calculate the optimal timing of the epidemic and a threshold to give an early alert of the upcoming epidemic.

References

Vega T., Lozano J.E. (2004) Modelling influenza epidemic - can we detect the beginning and predict the intensity and duration? International Congress Series 1263 (2004) 281-283. Vega T., Lozano J.E. (2012) Influenza surveillance in Europe: establishing epidemic thresholds by the Moving Epidemic Method. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, DOI:10.1111/j.1750-2659.2012.00422.x.

Examples

require(mem)
## Castilla y Leon Influenza Rates data 
data(flucyl)
## Optimal timing of an epidemic
tim<-epitiming(flucyl[1])
print(tim)
summary(tim)
plot(tim)
## Threshold calculation
epi<-epimem(flucyl)
print(epi)
summary(epi)
plot(epi)
## Intensity thresholds
intensity<-memintensity(flucyl)
intensity
## Trend parameters
trend<-memtrend(flucyl)
trend