Computes probabilities for deciding whether the AR order should be increased or decreased by 1 at each iteration in Bayesian analysis of mixture autoregressive models.
bx_dx(method = c("Ratio", "Poisson", "NULL"), par, pk)A list of 2 elements:
The probability of increasing the autoregressive order by 1.
The probability of decreasing the autoregressive order by 1,
    calculated as 1 - bx.
the method used for updating probabilities. If "Ratio" or
    "Poisson", probabilities depend on par and decrease
    as pk increases. If "NULL", probabilities are set to
    0.5. See Examples for details.
tuning parameter for calculating updating probabilities.
autoregressive order of the selected component.
Davide Ravagli
ravagli2020bayesianmixAR