The degree of utility of using a test as a selection instrument over randomly
selecting individuals can be reflected in the decision outcomes expected by using the
selection instrument. Suppose you have a predictor (selection instrument) and a criterion
(job performance). By regressing the criterion on the predictor, and selecting individuals
based on some cut-off value, we have 4 possible outcomes. A = True Positives, B = True Negatives,
C = False Negatives, and D = False Positives. The classical utility of using the test over
current procedures (random selection) is:
[A / (A+D)] - [(A + C) / (A + B + C + D)]
Various manipulations of these relationships can be used to assist in decision making.