is a website that provides a repository of model forecast results in a standardized format and a central location. It supports storing, retrieving, comparing, and analyzing time series forecasts for prediction challenges of interest to the modeling community. This package provides functions for working with the 'Zoltar' API, including connecting and authenticating, getting meta information (projects, models, and forecasts, and truth), and uploading, downloading, and deleting forecast and truth data." name="description">
This package contains functions for working with the Zoltar forecast repository’s API, including projects, models, forecasts, and truth. Read more about this package at the zoltr pkgdown site. Documentation on Zolar itself is at docs.zoltardata.com.
You can install the released version of zoltr from CRAN with:
install.packages("zoltr")
And the development version from GitHub with:
# install.packages("devtools")
devtools::install_github("reichlab/zoltr")
Note: Due to the rapid pace of zoltr development, CRAN version lags behind development. We highly suggest you install the development version to get the latest features.
For those starting out we recommend you begin with the “Getting Started” vignette.
Read more at the zoltr pkgdown site, but
briefly you use the new_connection()
function to create a connection
to Zoltar and then pass that connection
along with the URL of the resource of interest (e.g., a project,
model, or forecast) to this package’s various functions like
projects()
or project_info()
.
library(zoltr)
zoltar_connection <- new_connection()
zoltar_authenticate(zoltar_connection, Sys.getenv("Z_USERNAME"), Sys.getenv("Z_PASSWORD"))
zoltar_connection
#> ZoltarConnection 'https://zoltardata.com' authenticated (exp=2024-06-27 15:55:21 UTC)
the_projects <- projects(zoltar_connection)
project_url <- the_projects[the_projects$name == "Docs Example Project", "url"]
the_project_info <- project_info(zoltar_connection, project_url)
names(the_project_info)
#> [1] "id" "url" "owner" "is_public" "name"
#> [6] "description" "home_url" "logo_url" "core_data" "truth"
#> [11] "model_owners" "models" "units" "targets" "timezeros"
the_project_info$name
#> [1] "Docs Example Project"
The native forecast data format supported by the Zoltar API is a list
.
See docs.zoltardata.com for format
details. You can find an example at vignettes/docs-predictions.json . By
convention this package referred to this as forecast_data
. This
package supports conversion to this format (which is used throughout the
package) from the CDC’s CSV file format [1] via the
forecast_data_from_cdc_csv_file
() function. Future versions will
support bidirectional conversion, as well as support for a more general
CSV format.
[1] Details about the CDC CSV format were formerly found in a Word document (“flu_challenge_2016-17_update.docx”) that’s since been deleted. From that document’s “Objectives” section:
For each week during the season, participants will be asked to provide national and regional probabilistic forecasts for the entire influenza season (seasonal targets) and for the next four weeks (four-week ahead targets). The seasonal targets are the onset week, the peak week, and the peak intensity of the 2016-2017 influenza season. The four-week ahead targets are the percent of outpatient visits experiencing influenza-like illness (ILI) one week, two weeks, three weeks, and four weeks ahead from date of the forecast.
install.packages('zoltr')