EnsBrier: Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Brier Score
Description
Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Brier Score
Usage
EnsBrier(ens, obs, R.new = NA)
FairBrier(ens, obs)
Arguments
ens
a N*R matrix representing N time instances of R-member ensemble forecasts of binary events; ens[t,r]=1 if the r-th ensemble member at time t predicted the event, otherwise ens[t,r]=0
obs
a numeric vector of length N with binary observations; obs[t]=1 if the event happens at time t, otherwise obs[t]=0
R.new
ensemble size for which the scores should be adjusted
Value
numeric vector of length N with the ensemble-adjusted Brier scores
Ferro CAT, Richardson SR, Weigel AP (2008) On the effect of ensemble size on the discrete and continuous ranked probability scores. Meteorological Applications. 10.1002/met.45