# SpecsVerification v0.5-3

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## Forecast Verification Routines for Ensemble Forecasts of Weather and Climate

A collection of forecast verification routines developed for the SPECS
FP7 project. The emphasis is on comparative verification of ensemble forecasts of weather and climate.

## Functions in SpecsVerification

Name | Description | |

FairCrpsDiff | Calculate FairCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

PlotDressedEns | Plot a series forecast distributions of dressed ensembles | |

GetDensity | Calculate density and integrated density function of a dressed ensemble forecast at a matrix of values | |

GaussCrps | Calculate the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) for forecasts issued as Normal distributions | |

dresscrps_cpp | Dress CRPS | |

enscrps_cpp | CRPS for ensemble forecasts (C++ implementation) | |

EnsRps | Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Ranked Probability Score (RPS) for categorical forecasts | |

EnsBrierSs | Calculate EnsBrier Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

CorrDiff | Calculate correlation difference between a forecast and a reference forecast, and assess uncertainty | |

Corr | Calculate correlation between forecasts and observations, and assess uncertainty | |

Detrend | Auxiliary function for removing trends and mean from observation vector or ensemble matrix. | |

AbsErr | Calculate the absolute error between forecast and observation | |

EnsQs | Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Quadratic Score (QS) for categorical forecasts | |

EnsCorr | Correlation skill analysis for ensemble forecasts | |

Auc | Calculate area under the ROC curve (AUC) for a forecast and its verifying binary observation, and estimate the variance of the AUC | |

FairRpss | Calculate FairRps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

FairBrierDiff | Calculate FairBrier Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

EnsBrier | Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Brier Score | |

FitAkdParameters | Fit the 5 parameters used for affine kernel dressing by minimum CRPS estimation. | |

EnsBrierDiff | Calculate EnsBrier Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

DressCrps | Calculate the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) for a mixture of Normal distributions, for example generated by ensemble dressing | |

FairCrpss | Calculate FairCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

FairRpsDiff | Calculate FairRps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

DressIgn | Calculate the Logarithmic (Ignorance) Score for a mixture of Normal distributions, for example generated by ensemble dressing | |

TestRankhist | Statistical tests for rank histograms | |

GaussCrpsDiff | Calculate GaussCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

SqErr | Calculate the squared error between forecast and observation | |

auc_cpp | Calculate AUC and its sampling standard deviation (Internal C++ implementation) | |

ClimEns | Construct a climatological ensemble from a vector of observations. | |

aucdiff_cpp | Calculate AUC difference `AUC(fcst,obs) - AUC(fcst_ref, obs)` of two forecasts for the same observations, and the sampling standard deviation of the AUC difference (Internal C++ implementation) | |

DressCrpsDiff | Calculate DressCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

DressIgnDiff | Calculate DressIgn Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

GenerateToyData | Generate artificial data for ensemble verification using a signal-plus-noise model | |

EnsCrps | Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) | |

Rankhist | Rank histogram for ensemble forecasts | |

GaussCrpss | Calculate GaussCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

EnsRpss | Calculate EnsRps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

eurotempforecast | Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature | |

EnsCrpsDiff | Calculate EnsCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

SkillScore | Calculate a skill score and assess uncertainty. | |

SpecsVerification | SpecsVerification - Forecast verification routines | |

EnsRpsDiff | Calculate EnsRps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead) | |

ScoreDiff | Calculate average score difference and assess uncertainty | |

PlotRankhist | Plotting function for rank histograms | |

ReliabilityDiagram | Reliability diagram for probability forecasts | |

AucDiff | Calculate difference between areas under the ROC curve (AUC) between a forecast and a reference forecast for the same observation, and estimate the variance of the AUC difference | |

BrierDecomp | Brier Score decomposition | |

DressCrpss | Calculate DressCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

EnsCrpss | Calculate EnsCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

FairBrierSs | Calculate FairBrier Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead) | |

DressEnsemble | Transform an ensemble forecast to a continuous forecast distribution by kernel dressing. | |

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## Last month downloads

## Details

Date | 2020-02-26 |

License | GPL (>= 2) |

LinkingTo | Rcpp, RcppArmadillo |

LazyData | true |

RoxygenNote | 7.0.2 |

NeedsCompilation | yes |

Packaged | 2020-02-26 13:27:31 UTC; stefan |

Repository | CRAN |

Date/Publication | 2020-02-26 15:40:06 UTC |

imports | methods , Rcpp |

linkingto | RcppArmadillo |

suggests | testthat |

Contributors | Matteo De Felice, Jonas Bhend, Igor Kroener |

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