SpecsVerification v0.5-3

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Forecast Verification Routines for Ensemble Forecasts of Weather and Climate

A collection of forecast verification routines developed for the SPECS FP7 project. The emphasis is on comparative verification of ensemble forecasts of weather and climate.

Functions in SpecsVerification

Name Description
FairCrpsDiff Calculate FairCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
PlotDressedEns Plot a series forecast distributions of dressed ensembles
GetDensity Calculate density and integrated density function of a dressed ensemble forecast at a matrix of values
GaussCrps Calculate the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) for forecasts issued as Normal distributions
dresscrps_cpp Dress CRPS
enscrps_cpp CRPS for ensemble forecasts (C++ implementation)
EnsRps Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Ranked Probability Score (RPS) for categorical forecasts
EnsBrierSs Calculate EnsBrier Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
CorrDiff Calculate correlation difference between a forecast and a reference forecast, and assess uncertainty
Corr Calculate correlation between forecasts and observations, and assess uncertainty
Detrend Auxiliary function for removing trends and mean from observation vector or ensemble matrix.
AbsErr Calculate the absolute error between forecast and observation
EnsQs Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Quadratic Score (QS) for categorical forecasts
EnsCorr Correlation skill analysis for ensemble forecasts
Auc Calculate area under the ROC curve (AUC) for a forecast and its verifying binary observation, and estimate the variance of the AUC
FairRpss Calculate FairRps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
FairBrierDiff Calculate FairBrier Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
EnsBrier Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Brier Score
FitAkdParameters Fit the 5 parameters used for affine kernel dressing by minimum CRPS estimation.
EnsBrierDiff Calculate EnsBrier Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
DressCrps Calculate the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS) for a mixture of Normal distributions, for example generated by ensemble dressing
FairCrpss Calculate FairCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
FairRpsDiff Calculate FairRps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
DressIgn Calculate the Logarithmic (Ignorance) Score for a mixture of Normal distributions, for example generated by ensemble dressing
TestRankhist Statistical tests for rank histograms
GaussCrpsDiff Calculate GaussCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
SqErr Calculate the squared error between forecast and observation
auc_cpp Calculate AUC and its sampling standard deviation (Internal C++ implementation)
ClimEns Construct a climatological ensemble from a vector of observations.
aucdiff_cpp Calculate AUC difference `AUC(fcst,obs) - AUC(fcst_ref, obs)` of two forecasts for the same observations, and the sampling standard deviation of the AUC difference (Internal C++ implementation)
DressCrpsDiff Calculate DressCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
DressIgnDiff Calculate DressIgn Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
GenerateToyData Generate artificial data for ensemble verification using a signal-plus-noise model
EnsCrps Calculate the ensemble-adjusted Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS)
Rankhist Rank histogram for ensemble forecasts
GaussCrpss Calculate GaussCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
EnsRpss Calculate EnsRps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
eurotempforecast Seasonal ensemble forecast of European average summer temperature
EnsCrpsDiff Calculate EnsCrps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
SkillScore Calculate a skill score and assess uncertainty.
SpecsVerification SpecsVerification - Forecast verification routines
EnsRpsDiff Calculate EnsRps Difference (deprecated, use function ScoreDiff instead)
ScoreDiff Calculate average score difference and assess uncertainty
PlotRankhist Plotting function for rank histograms
ReliabilityDiagram Reliability diagram for probability forecasts
AucDiff Calculate difference between areas under the ROC curve (AUC) between a forecast and a reference forecast for the same observation, and estimate the variance of the AUC difference
BrierDecomp Brier Score decomposition
DressCrpss Calculate DressCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
EnsCrpss Calculate EnsCrps Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
FairBrierSs Calculate FairBrier Skill Score (deprecated, use function SkillScore instead)
DressEnsemble Transform an ensemble forecast to a continuous forecast distribution by kernel dressing.
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Details

Date 2020-02-26
License GPL (>= 2)
LinkingTo Rcpp, RcppArmadillo
LazyData true
RoxygenNote 7.0.2
NeedsCompilation yes
Packaged 2020-02-26 13:27:31 UTC; stefan
Repository CRAN
Date/Publication 2020-02-26 15:40:06 UTC

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